PredictionsEndorse2013 Gubernatorial Predictions - mah519 (D-OK) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2013-03-16 Version:1

Prediction Map
mah519 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
mah519 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000000+1
Rep0000-1-1101-1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
422
piepiepie

Analysis

I think Christie takes New Jersey 61-36 over Barbara Buono. I don't think she has a chance of beating Christie at all, and the guy isn't losing his strong strong approval ratings and has done nothing to stop the stream of good press, even getting 4th in CPAC when he wasn't invited.

However, things don't look as good for Ken Cuccinelli. He looks like he will lose to Terry McAuliffe, for now, but the race seems like a toss-up so anything could go. Ken may be too extreme for Virginia, but Terry may also be too much of a lobbyist whore for the voters of Virginia to go out to the polls for him. Who knows?


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 30/35 19/35 49/70 70.0% pie 2 130 272T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 25/36 57/72 79.2% pie 2 132 78T
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 10 1T
P 2016 President 46/56 25/56 71/112 63.4% pie 6 26 552T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 2 47 164T
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 3 47 67T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 165 8T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 24/36 59/72 81.9% pie 7 1 42T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 21/36 50/72 69.4% pie 6 1 39T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 234 1T
P 2012 President 55/56 45/56 100/112 89.3% pie 2 47 115T
Aggregate Predictions 272/308 188/308 460/616 74.7% pie



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