PredictionsEndorse2013 Gubernatorial Predictions - Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2013-03-16 Version:1

Prediction Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Oldiesfreak1854 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem1
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
2 |
2 |
50 |
Dem0
 
pie
Rep1
 
Ind0
 
Tos1
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000000+1
Rep0000-1-1101-1
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 4)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
321
piepiepie

Analysis

Here's my preliminary prediction. Christie is pretty safe in NJ right now, but Virginia is a different story. Since Bolling isn't running at all and Cuccinelli is the only Republican at this point, it looks like an easy win for McAuliffe. *gag* Cuccinelli is way too far-right on social issues to do well in the Northern Virginia suburbs, and that's all it will take for the Democrats to win back the Governor's mansion in Old Dominion. Still, I rate it as a toss-up since it's early and there's a lot of campaigning left.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 29/35 14/35 43/70 61.4% pie 2 200 417T
P 2018 Governor 30/36 15/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 301 295T
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 31 40T
P 2016 President 42/56 12/56 54/112 48.2% pie 5 47 660T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 17/34 48/68 70.6% pie 4 63 164T
P 2016 Governor 11/12 7/12 18/24 75.0% pie 1 63 3T
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 7 8T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 13 4 4T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 12 4 97T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 234 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 33/56 86/112 76.8% pie 8 5 591T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 4 12 144T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 3 1 89T
Aggregate Predictions 308/352 169/352 477/704 67.8% pie



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