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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:6

Prediction Map
CR MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
CR MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem10
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+30+30-2-210212+1
Rep0+2+2-40-415318-2
Ind+10+1000000+1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
523220
piepiepie

Analysis

Final Prediction: <br /> <br /> Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) reelected<br /> Alaska: Bill Walker (I)<br /> Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)<br /> Arizona: Doug Ducey (R)<br /> California: Jerry Brown (D) reelected<br /> Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) reelected<br /> Connecticut: Dannel Malloy (D) reelected<br /> Florida: Charlie Crist (D)<br /> Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) reelected<br /> Hawaii: David Ige (D)<br /> Idaho: Butch Otter (R) reelected<br /> Illinois: Pat Quinn (D) reelected<br /> Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) reelected<br /> Kansas: Paul Davis (D)<br /> Maine: Paul LePage (R) reelected<br /> Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)<br /> Massachusetts: Charlie Baker (R)<br /> Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) reelected<br /> Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) reelected<br /> New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) reelected<br /> New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) reelected<br /> New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) reelected<br /> Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) reelected<br /> Ohio: John Kasich (R) reelected<br /> Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) reelected<br /> Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) reelected<br /> Pennsylvania: Tom Wolf (D)<br /> Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo (D)<br /> South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) reelected<br /> South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R) reelected<br /> Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) reelected<br /> Texas: Greg Abbott (R) <br /> Vermont: Peter Schumlin (D) reelected<br /> Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) reelected<br /> Wyoming: Matt Mead (R) reelected<br />


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 5

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) reelected<br /> Alaska: Bill Walker (I)<br /> Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)<br /> Arizona: Doug Ducey (R)<br /> California: Jerry Brown (D) reelected<br /> Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) reelected<br /> Connecticut: Tom Foley (R)<br /> Florida: Charlie Crist (D)<br /> Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) reelected<br /> Hawaii: David Ige (D)<br /> Idaho: Butch Otter (R) reelected<br /> Illinois: Bruce Rauner (R)<br /> Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) reelected<br /> Kansas: Sam Brownback (R) reelected<br /> Maine: Mike Michaud (D)<br /> Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)<br /> Massachusetts: Charlie Baker (R)<br /> Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) reelected<br /> Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) reelected<br /> New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) reelected<br /> New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) reelected<br /> New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) reelected<br /> Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) reelected<br /> Ohio: John Kasich (R) reelected<br /> Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) reelected<br /> Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) reelected<br /> Pennsylvania: Tom Wolf (D)<br /> Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo (D)<br /> South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) reelected<br /> South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R) reelected<br /> Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) reelected<br /> Texas: Greg Abbott (R) <br /> Vermont: Peter Schumlin (D) reelected<br /> Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) reelected<br /> Wyoming: Matt Mead (R) reelected


Version: 4

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) reelected<br /> Alaska: Sean Parnell (R) reelected<br /> Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)<br /> Arizona: Doug Ducey (R)<br /> California: Jerry Brown (D) reelected<br /> Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) reelected<br /> Connecticut: Tom Foley (R)<br /> Florida: Rick Scott (R) reelected<br /> Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) reelected<br /> Hawaii: David Ige (D)<br /> Idaho: Butch Otter (R) reelected<br /> Illinois: Bruce Rauner (R)<br /> Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) reelected<br /> Kansas: Paul Davis (D)<br /> Maine: Mike Michaud (D)<br /> Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)<br /> Massachusetts: Martha Coakley (D)<br /> Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) reelected<br /> Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) reelected<br /> New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) reelected<br /> New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) reelected<br /> New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) reelected<br /> Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) reelected<br /> Ohio: John Kasich (R) reelected<br /> Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) reelected<br /> Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) reelected<br /> Pennsylvania: Tom Wolf (D)<br /> Rhode Island: Lincoln Chaffee (D) reelected<br /> South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) reelected<br /> South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (D) reelected<br /> Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) reelected<br /> Texas: Greg Abbott (R) <br /> Vermont: Peter Schumlin (D) reelected<br /> Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) reelected<br /> Wyoming: Matt Mead (R) reelected


Version: 3

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) reelected<br /> Alaska: Sean Parnell (R) reelected<br /> Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)<br /> Arizona: Ken Bennett (R)<br /> California: Jerry Brown (D) reelected<br /> Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) reelected<br /> Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D) reelected<br /> Florida: Charlie Crist (D)<br /> Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) reelected<br /> Hawaii: Duke Aiona (R)<br /> Idaho: Butch Otter (R) reelected<br /> Illinois: Bruce Rauner (R)<br /> Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) reelected<br /> Kansas: Sam Brownback (R) reelected<br /> Maine: Paul LePage (R) reelected<br /> Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)<br /> Massachusetts: Martha Coakley (D)<br /> Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) reelected<br /> Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) reelected<br /> New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) reelected<br /> New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) reelected<br /> New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) reelected<br /> Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) reelected<br /> Ohio: John Kasich (R) reelected<br /> Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) reelected<br /> Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) reelected<br /> Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz (D)<br /> Rhode Island: Lincoln Chaffee (D) reelected<br /> South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) reelected<br /> South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (D) reelected<br /> Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) reelected<br /> Texas: Rick Perry (R) reelected<br /> Vermont: Peter Schumlin (D) reelected<br /> Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) reelected<br /> Wyoming: Matt Mead (R) reelected


Version: 2

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) reelected
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R) reelected
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)
Arizona: Ken Bennett (R)
California: Jerry Brown (D) reelected
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) reelected
Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D) reelected
Florida: Charlie Crist (D)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) reelected
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D) reelected
Idaho: Butch Otter (R) reelected
Illinois: Pat Quinn (D) reelected
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) reelected
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R) reelected
Maine: Mike Michaud (D)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)
Massachusetts: Martha Coakley (D)
Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) reelected
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) reelected
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) reelected
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) reelected
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) reelected
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) reelected
Ohio: John Kasich (R) reelected
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) reelected
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) reelected
Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz (D)
Rhode Island: Lincoln Chaffee (D) reelected
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) reelected
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (D) reelected
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) reelected
Texas: Rick Perry (R) reelected
Vermont: Peter Schumlin (D) reelected
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) reelected
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R) reelected


Version: 1

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) reelected
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R) reelected
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)
Arizona: Ken Bennett (R)
California: Jerry Brown (D) reelected
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) reelected
Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D) reelected
Florida: Charlie Crist (D)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) reelected
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D) reelected
Idaho: Butch Otter (R) reelected
Illinois: Pat Quinn (D) reelected
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) reelected
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R) reelected
Maine: David Slagger (D)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)
Massachusetts: Scott Brown (R)
Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) reelected
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) reelected
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) reelected
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) reelected
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) reelected
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) reelected
Ohio: John Kasich (R) reelected
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) reelected
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) reelected
Pennsylvania: Tom Corbett (R) reelected
Rhode Island: Lincoln Chaffee (D) reelected
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) reelected
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (D) reelected
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) reelected
Texas: Rick Perry (R) reelected
Vermont: Peter Schumlin (D) reelected
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) reelected
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R) reelected








Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 51/56 30/56 81/112 72.3% pie 10 3 194T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 16/34 46/68 67.6% pie 5 3 252T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 4 3 67T279
P 2014 Senate 35/36 18/36 53/72 73.6% pie 10 1 158T382
P 2014 Governor 32/36 20/36 52/72 72.2% pie 6 1 15T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 233 17T153
P 2012 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 25 2 489T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 19/33 48/66 72.7% pie 6 2 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 8/11 18/22 81.8% pie 5 2 24T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 17/52 63/104 60.6% pie 29 - 27T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 1 245 37T106
P 2010 Senate 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 19 1 63T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 8 1 106T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 3 1T103
P 2008 President 47/56 28/56 75/112 67.0% pie 44 1 702T1,505
P 2008 Senate 31/33 14/33 45/66 68.2% pie 7 1 257T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 4 1 232T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 43/52 24/52 67/104 64.4% pie 22 - 23T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 34/49 15/49 49/98 50.0% pie 23 - 55T235
Aggregate Predictions 534/609 307/609 841/1218 69.0% pie


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