Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	16
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	16
Ind	1
Tos	6
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	10	3	13	+5
Rep	0	+1	+1	-7	0	-7	12	3	15	-6
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
42	28	14

Analysis

The Republican class of 2010 should lose a number of its members. They have not done a very good job, in a number of cases, a terrible job, and their careers will end tonight. But some of them are in close races and they might eke out a victory or 2. Some Democrats are also in a similar position, but with the advantage of being in blue states, they will probably survive. It should be an interesting and suspenseful night.<br />

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	48/56	29/56	77/112	68.8%	1	0	369	T	678
2014 Senate	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%	1	1	200	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	14/36	42/72	58.3%	2	0	211	T	300
2012 President	56/56	46/56	102/112	91.1%	11	0	47	T	760
2010 Senate	35/37	24/37	59/74	79.7%	2	0	63	T	456
2008 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%	5	0	247	T	1,505
Aggregate Predictions	251/277	169/277	420/554	75.8%

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