Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-17 Version:1

Prediction Map

MPBlissenbach Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

MPBlissenbach Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	13
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-2	-1	-3	8	3	11	-2
Rep	+2	+1	+3	-1	0	-1	18	3	21	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	30	14

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	30/35	15/35	45/70	64.3%		1	30	392	T	483
2018 Governor	34/36	17/36	51/72	70.8%		1	32	205	T	372
2016 President	48/56	23/56	71/112	63.4%		2	2	552	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	18/34	49/68	72.1%		1	2	120	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%		1	25	164	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	15/36	50/72	69.4%		1	18	217	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	14/36	44/72	61.1%		1	18	171	T	300
2012 President	48/56	37/56	85/112	75.9%		2	10	614	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	12/33	40/66	60.6%		2	10	252	T	343
2012 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%		1	265	179	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	27/52	6/52	33/104	31.7%		4	-	141	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	327/397	166/397	493/794	62.1%

Links

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