Election 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-11-15 Version:1

Prediction Map

drewmike87 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

drewmike87 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	5
Ind	0
Non	38

Confidence States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	5
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	38

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	0	-2	-2	5	1	6	-1
Rep	0	+2	+2	-1	0	-1	3	0	3	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 24)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
12	7	5

Analysis

The unpopular Pence in IN gets tossed. MO and WV move toward GOP at the state level similar to how KY elected Bevin.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	71	48	T	118
2018 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		1	357	246	T	483
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	116	40	T	149
2016 President	51/56	21/56	72/112	64.3%		1	359	527	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	16/34	47/68	69.1%		1	359	213	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%		1	359	164	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	123/141	63/141	186/282	66.0%

User Info

drewmike87 Forum Profile

Links

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