Election 2018 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-01-10 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	27
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+2	+2	-1	-1	-2	4	3	7	0
Rep	+2	+1	+3	0	-2	-2	13	11	24	+1
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
29	29	0

Analysis

I see DEM gains in Maine and MICH, and GOP gains in CT and PA. Close calls in both Illinois and Florida, with the GOP holding by a hair in both states.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	30/35	1/35	31/70	44.3%	1	300	474	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	0/36	29/72	40.3%	1	302	369	T	372
Aggregate Predictions	59/71	1/71	60/142	42.3%

User Info

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