PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - Somenamelessfoo (D-TX) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2017-12-14 Version:2

Prediction Map
Somenamelessfoo MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Somenamelessfoo MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem23
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind0
 
Tos12
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+7+7+14000549+14
Rep000-6-7-137613-13
Ind000-10-1000-1


Analysis

Alabama-Kay Ivey defeats Walter Maddox/Alaska-Mark Begich defeats Bill Walker and Joe Miller D+1/Arizona-Doug Ducey defeats Steve Farley/Arkansas-Asa Hutchinson defeats Conner Eldridge/California-Gavin Newsom defeats Antonio Villaraigosa in the runoff/Colorado-Jared Polis defeats Tom Tancredo/Connecticut-Susan Bysiewicz defeats Mark Boughton/Florida-Gwen Graham defeats Adam Putnam D+2/Georgia-Casey Cagle narrowly defeats Stacey Abrams (50.28-49.58)/Hawaii-David Ige defeats Andria Tupola/Idaho-Raul Labrador defeats Troy Minton/Illinois-J.B. Pritzker unseats Bruce Rauner D+3/Iowa-Kim Reynolds defeats Nate Boulton/Kansas-Carl Brewer unseats Jeff Colyer (48.88-48.22) D+4/Maine-Janet Mills defeats Mary Mayhew D+5/Maryland-Benjamin Jealous unseats Larry Hogan D+6/Massachusetts-Setti Warren unseats Charlie Baker (48.71-47.82) D+7/Michigan-Gretchen Whitmer defeats Bill Schuette D+8/Minnesota-Lori Swanson defeats Erik Paulsen/Nebraska-Pete Ricketts defeats Bob Krist/Nevada-Ross Miller narrowly defeat Adam Laxalt (50.43-49.35) D+9/New Hampshire-Mark Connolly unseats Chris Sununu D+10/New Mexico-Michelle Grisham defeats Steve Pearce D+11/New York-Andrew Cuomo defeats Harry Wilson/Ohio-RICHARD CORDRAY defeats Mike DeWine D+12/Oklahoma-Todd Lamb defeats Drew Edmondson/Oregon-Kate Brown defeats Knute Buehler/Pennsylvania-Tom Wolf defeats Scott Wagner/Rhode Island-Gina Raimondo defeat Allan Fung in a rematch/South Carolina-Henry McMaster defeats Phil Noble/South Dakota-Kristi Noem defeats Billie Sutton/Tennessee-Diane Black defeats Craig Fitzhugh/Texas-Greg Abbott defeats Lupe Valdez/Vermont-Sue Minter unseats Phil Scott (50.43-49.51) D+13/Wisconsin-Kathleen Vinehout unseats Scott Walker D+14/Wyoming-Tim Stubson defeats Mary Thorne


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2023 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 40 49T115
P 2020 President 50/56 43/56 93/112 83.0% pie 2 14 260T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 21/35 52/70 74.3% pie 1 41 194T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 33 147T293
P 2018 Senate 30/35 19/35 49/70 70.0% pie 8 1 272T483
P 2018 Governor 31/36 27/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 3 56T372
P 2016 President 45/56 27/56 72/112 64.3% pie 1 11 527T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 15/34 45/68 66.2% pie 2 11 277T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 5/12 13/24 54.2% pie 2 11 119T279
Aggregate Predictions 239/278 165/278 404/556 72.7% pie



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