Election 2018 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-08-19 Version:1

Prediction Map

stirling Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

stirling Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	21
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	+4	+8	-1	-1	-2	4	3	7	+6
Rep	+2	+1	+3	-4	-4	-8	9	9	18	-5
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
44	29	15

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%		1	79	211	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	15/36	44/72	61.1%		1	81	311	T	372
2016 President	51/56	34/56	85/112	75.9%		1	540	66	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	22/34	54/68	79.4%		1	540	6	T	362
2014 Senate	30/36	15/36	45/72	62.5%		1	412	282	T	382
2014 Governor	25/36	12/36	37/72	51.4%		2	412	271	T	300
2010 Senate	32/37	15/37	47/74	63.5%		1	147	280	T	456
2010 Governor	24/37	12/37	36/74	48.6%		1	147	262	T	312
2008 President	47/56	22/56	69/112	61.6%		2	49	1031	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	21/33	4/33	25/66	37.9%		1	182	464		465
2006 Governor	23/36	9/36	32/72	44.4%		1	182	301	T	312
2004 President	49/56	35/56	84/112	75.0%		13	10	834	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	394/488	215/488	609/976	62.4%

Links

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