PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - leip (I-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2017-11-20 Version:1

Prediction Map
leip MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
leip MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos13
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+20+2000549+2
Rep000-20-2111324-2
Ind0000001010


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
392613
piepiepie

Analysis

Test


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 250
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 88
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 72
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 2 130 362T483
P 2018 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 353 351T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 116 138T149
P 2016 President 49/56 29/56 78/112 69.6% pie 2 542 325T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 19/34 51/68 75.0% pie 1 543 60T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 1 543 223T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 273 72T112
P 2014 Senate 27/36 11/36 38/72 52.8% pie 2 184 351T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 599 192T300
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T153
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T106
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T456
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T312
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T103
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T1,505
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T235
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T465
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T312
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 599/813 298/813 897/1626 55.2% pie



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