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Date of Prediction: 2017-11-20 Version:1

Prediction Map
leip MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
leip MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep17
 
Ind0
 
Tos13
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+20+2000549+2
Rep000-20-2111324-2
Ind0000001010


Analysis

Test


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate /33 /33 /66 % pie
P 2017 Governor /2 /2 /4 % pie
P 2016 President 49/56 29/56 78/112 69.6% pie 2 542 325T
P 2016 Senate 32/34 19/34 51/68 75.0% pie 1 543 60T
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 1 543 223T
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 273 72T
P 2014 Senate 27/36 11/36 38/72 52.8% pie 2 184 351T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 14/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 599 192T
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T
Aggregate Predictions 543/740 268/740 811/1480 54.8% pie



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