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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-23 Version:2
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
Analysis
Probably final gubernatorial predictions. Some of these races are less polled than their senatorial equivalents; the only really wild upset I pulled is Sutton. Every year someone wins truly out-of-nowhere and some unpopular but respected/competent governor gets reelected (for 2014, Hogan and Scott; for 2010, LePage and Quinn); going with Sutton and Walker as my nominations this time around. Knocking off incumbent governors is hard, and when it happens polls are usually unanimous about it. Otherwise broke tossups and bad Democratic campaigns in blue states (CT/OR are glaring examples here) to the Dems.
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