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Date of Prediction: 2018-01-24 Version:1

Prediction Map
Vosem MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Vosem MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep13
 
Ind0
 
Tos15
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+7+8000549+8
Rep000-1-7-812618-8
Ind0000001010


Analysis

A very cautious prediction. Many tossups in places where it is unclear whether the typical opposition party is participating or not. There are going to be a couple Hogans who win a few weeks out in states that are safe for the other party.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate /33 /33 /66 % pie
P 2016 President 44/56 23/56 67/112 59.8% pie 3 0 597T
P 2016 Senate 31/34 16/34 47/68 69.1% pie 4 0 213T
P 2014 Senate 34/36 26/36 60/72 83.3% pie 8 2 21T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 7 2 22T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 0 98T
Aggregate Predictions 142/164 85/164 227/328 69.2% pie



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