Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction States Won

		19 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 |	36 |	50 |
Dem	8
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	15
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+7	+8	0	0	0	5	4	9	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-7	-8	12	6	18	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0

Analysis

A very cautious prediction. Many tossups in places where it is unclear whether the typical opposition party is participating or not. There are going to be a couple Hogans who win a few weeks out in states that are safe for the other party.