Election 2018 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-31 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+4	+5	0	0	0	5	4	9	+5
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-4	-5	12	9	21	-5
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
48	33	15

Analysis

Democrats and Republicans main battleground is clearly the midwest, and it seems clear as day that democrats are being overestimated throughout the campaign.

Member Comments

By: Grassr00ts (R-IL) 2018-11-06 @ 22:11:10
Besides Kansas, I think I might have gotten the Midwest right. <br /> <br /> Also, CT might be flimsy, but I think in the end, I might actually have nailed New England.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					249
2022 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%	1	6	266	T	305
2022 Governor	28/36	15/36	43/72	59.7%	1	5	260	T	272
2020 President	54/56	40/56	94/112	83.9%	4	200	215	T	684
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	1	3	104	T	192
2018 Governor	33/36	15/36	48/72	66.7%	1	8	260	T	372
Aggregate Predictions	147/166	91/166	238/332	71.7%