Election 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	3
Rep	8
Ind	0
Non	39

Confidence States Won

		6 \|	11 \|	50 \|
Dem	3
Rep	7
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	39

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	3	0	3	-1
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	6	1	7	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 22)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
19	11	8

Analysis

11/2/2020: Final Map. GOP picks up one seat in Montana. Gubernatorial races are somewhat less susceptible to national trends, so most incumbents will by comfortable margins.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	35/35	30/35	65/70	92.9%	1	0	3	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	1	0	11	T	272
2020 President	53/56	38/56	91/112	81.3%	3	6	359	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%	1	4	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	1	5	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%	6	0	67	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	26/36	58/72	80.6%	5	2	56	T	372
2016 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%	8	0	246	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%	4	0	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%	2	0	164	T	279
2014 Senate	31/36	22/36	53/72	73.6%	5	0	158	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	15/36	45/72	62.5%	3	1	145	T	300
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%	8	1	182	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	20/33	51/66	77.3%	6	1	94	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	2	1	5	T	228
2010 Senate	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%	3	0	100	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%	2	1	91	T	312
2008 President	52/56	41/56	93/112	83.0%	7	0	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	18/33	51/66	77.3%	1	0	96	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	31/52	14/52	45/104	43.3%	2	-	85	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	14/49	5/49	19/98	19.4%	1	-	162	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%	4	0	113	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	16/36	51/72	70.8%	3	0	122	T	312
2004 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%	30	2	14	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	798/907	531/907	1329/1814	73.3%

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