PredictionsEndorse2022 Gubernatorial Predictions - darthpi (D-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2022-11-07 Version:6

Prediction Map
darthpi MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
darthpi MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Tos4
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+2+2-20-2113140
Rep+20+20-2-2153180
Ind0000000000


Analysis

A few updates that are encouraging for either side tomorrow, but the core, extraordinarily depressing fact remains that a number of genuinely deranged conspiracy theorists could easily end up elected to some key governorships, and the though of what they will likely try to do to our democracy if they take power absolutely horrifies me. My home state of Pennsylvania stands out as one of the very few places going against this trend, which is some degree of comfort, but things are looking very, very bad for the country as a whole.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2022 Senate /34 /34 /68 % pie 304
P 2022 Governor /37 /37 /74 % pie 271
P 2020 President 52/56 39/56 91/112 81.3% pie 18 6 359T684
P 2018 Senate 32/35 23/35 55/70 78.6% pie 26 1 67T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 23/36 55/72 76.4% pie 26 3 122T372
P 2016 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 37 1 87T678
P 2014 Senate 34/36 26/36 60/72 83.3% pie 11 4 21T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 17/36 48/72 66.7% pie 6 3 73T300
P 2012 President 56/56 45/56 101/112 90.2% pie 30 1 77T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 7 1 40T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 19/52 64/104 61.5% pie 42 - 25T231
P 2010 Senate 35/37 30/37 65/74 87.8% pie 26 1 5456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 6 1 29T312
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 19 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Dem Primary 37/52 19/52 56/104 53.8% pie 15 - 58T271
Aggregate Predictions 523/578 367/578 890/1156 77.0% pie


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