Election 2022 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-11-01 Version:1

Prediction Map

The Physicist Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

The Physicist Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+2	+2	-3	-1	-4	10	2	12	-2
Rep	+3	+1	+4	0	-2	-2	15	3	18	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Governor	32/36	21/36	53/72	73.6%		1	7	202	T	272
2012 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		1	473	367	T	760
2012 Rep Primary	33/52	5/52	38/104	36.5%		1	-	114	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		1	284	37	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	24/37	58/74	78.4%		8	1	86	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		6	1	59	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	17	1	T	103
2008 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		4	3	100	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		3	3	57	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	7/11	16/22	72.7%		3	3	152	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	285/324	190/324	475/648	73.3%

Links

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