May make one more edit before election night. But if not, here's final analysis with relevant state analysis<br /> <br /> Alaska: Three way race. (Well, four, but three have a greater then zero chance of winning) I believe Dunleavy wins, but will be interesting to see how the ranked choice system works here.<br /> <br /> Arizona: Kari Lake has ran a great campaign. But I have to say, I'm pretty sure Katie Hobbs is trying to lose. Refusal to debate her opponent, along with her awkward, vague sloganeering. Lake may due well enough to drag Masters to victory in the Senate race.<br /> <br /> California: Not a particularly exciting race, but Newsom could finish under 60 percent. I believe he is the favorite for the Democratic nomination in 2024. (Assuming Dems dump Biden)<br /> <br /> Colorado: Polis seems to be in good shape. A strong red wave could see this within single digits<br /> <br /> Connecticut: Lamont appears to be pulling away. Usually the governors race is relatively close.<br /> <br /> Florida: The favorite for the GOP nomination, unless the GOP wants to continue down this overrated path of orange, DeSantis has been pulling away from another orange disaster, Charlie Crist.<br /> <br /> Georgia: Brian Kemp has been a polarizing governor at times. But, his opponent has another job, remember? She is the President of Earth!<br /> <br /> Illinois: Another possible 2024 candidate. (JB and I need to meet at the gym and hit the treadmill before either of us think about running for President) Pritzker should be fine, but a true wave night could have this in single digits.<br /> <br /> Kansas: I've actually switched this one to the Democrats. Polls continue to show the moderate (both in tone and in policy) Kelly ahead. I think she wins. It will be recount close, but Kelly should win.<br /> <br /> Maryland and Massachusetts: Neither of these are particularly close, but wanted to note the Dem pickups here. Moderate GOP governors handing over the reins.<br /> <br /> Michigan: Tudor Dixon has been narrowing the gap, but I think Whitmer wins.<br /> <br /> Minnesota: One poll last week showed Jensen leading by 1, but this has generally shown Walz winning comfortably. I think by about 6 points.<br /> <br /> Nevada: I believe Lombardo knocks off the incumbent Sisolak.<br /> <br /> New Mexico: I have moved this to toss up. Ronchetti has ran a strong campaign, though I believe Lukan Grisham will hold on.<br /> <br /> New York: Moved this to Leans Dem. I would love for a Zeldin victory here, but I believe the deep blue hue of NYC gives Hochul an 8-10 point victory<br /> <br /> Oklahoma: Some polls showed Hofmeister pulling off the upset. I believe the GOP lean of this cycle will help Stitt will re-election, likely by 10-12 points.<br /> <br /> Oregon: Red Oregon? Kate Brown is deeply unpopular to pretty much everyone outside of Portland. Kotek seems like an even more radical version of Brown. <br /> <br /> Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro DESTROYS Mastriano with superior funding.<br /> <br /> Rhode Island: Ashley Kalus has ran well, but Rhode Island is deep blue and will likely be a 12-14 point victory for the incumbent McKee.<br /> <br /> South Carolina: Safe GOP. Noting this due to the surprisingly close 2018 race. McMasters appears to be in good shape.<br /> <br /> Texas: 3 losses in 4 years for O'Rourke (most likely). Ouch. Even Texas Democrats seem to be tired of his schtick.<br /> <br /> Vermont: Not much to note here. Just reminding everyone that Vermont (!) has a GOP Governor. And he looks to be winning this race very handily<br /> <br /> Wisconsin: I believe Tim Michels wins this one. Taking back the Governorship from Evers, who ended Scott Walker's close-race win streak.