PredictionsEndorse2022 Gubernatorial Predictions - MATTROSE94 (D-NJ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2022-10-28 Version:4

Prediction Map
MATTROSE94 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
MATTROSE94 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep30
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Tos10
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+2+2-10-2-12314-10
Rep+10+2+120-2-215318+10
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Republicans pick up Kansas (Eric Schmidt), Nevada (Joe Lombardo), Wisconsin (Tim Michels), Maine (Paul LePage), New Mexico (Marc Ronchetti), Rhode Island (Ashley Kalus), New York (Lee Zeldin), Minnesota (Scott Jensen), Connecticut (Bob Stefanowski), Michigan (Tudor Dixon), Pennsylvania (Doug Mastriano), and Oregon (Christine Drazan). The Democrats pick up Massachusetts (Maura Healey), and Maryland (Wes Moore).<br /> <br />


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 230
P 2022 Senate 28/35 8/35 36/70 51.4% pie 10 11 300305
P 2022 Governor 24/36 6/36 30/72 41.7% pie 4 11 269272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 5 13 111T118
P 2020 President 48/56 21/56 69/112 61.6% pie 37 6 675684
P 2020 Senate 28/35 8/35 36/70 51.4% pie 36 4 421423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 1/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 17 284T293
P 2018 Senate 31/35 13/35 44/70 62.9% pie 10 9 402T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 6 11 273T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 114 40T149
P 2016 President 48/56 23/56 71/112 63.4% pie 26 2 552T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 12/34 42/68 61.8% pie 23 2 327T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 9 1 223T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 1 8T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 20/36 54/72 75.0% pie 38 5 138T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 14/36 45/72 62.5% pie 30 1 145T300
Aggregate Predictions 356/425 149/425 505/850 59.4% pie


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