Election 2022 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-09-30 Version:3

Prediction Map

dfwlibertylover Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

dfwlibertylover Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	22
Ind	0
Tos	0
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+2	+2	-3	-1	-4	10	2	12	-2
Rep	+3	+1	+4	0	-2	-2	15	3	18	+2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

538 75% rule

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	30/35	24/35	54/70	77.1%		5	2	205	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%		3	39	158	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	7	48	T	118
2020 President	50/56	37/56	87/112	77.7%		5	12	502	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		3	10	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	12	51	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	94	35	T	192
2018 Senate	30/35	16/35	46/70	65.7%		5	5	362	T	483
2018 Governor	28/36	17/36	45/72	62.5%		4	2	295	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	115	98	T	149
2016 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%		4	1	6	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	13/34	43/68	63.2%		5	1	317	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	4/12	14/24	58.3%		4	1	67	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	309/353	204/353	513/706	72.7%

Links

	Gubernatorial Predictions - Most Recent
	Gubernatorial Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Gubernatorial Predictions Home

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