PredictionsEndorse2022 Gubernatorial Predictions - AZ ResultsPolls
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Total Entries: 241

Candidates: Katie Hobbs (D) Kari Lake (R)^

Prediction: Median = Republican > 50%
Pop Vote
Rep Wins211
 
Dem Wins30
 
Ind Wins0
 

R > 30%0
 
R > 40%31
 
R > 50%179
 
R > 60%0
 
R > 70%0
 
R > 80%0
 
R > 90%1
 

D > 30%0
 
D > 40%12
 
D > 50%17
 
D > 60%0
 
D > 70%1
 
D > 80%0
 
D > 90%0
 

I > 30%0
 
I > 40%0
 
I > 50%0
 
I > 60%0
 
I > 70%0
 
I > 80%0
 
I > 90%0
 
 
Confidence: Median = Tossup
 
Strong R28
 
Lean R78
 

Lean D0
 
Strong D5
 

Lean I0
 
Strong I0
 

Tossup130
 


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