Election 2023 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2023-09-23 Version:1

Prediction Map

AdmirlPrsident Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

AdmirlPrsident Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	1
Rep	2
Ind	0
Non	47

Confidence States Won

		2 \|	3 \|	50 \|
Dem	0
Rep	1
Ind	0
Tos	2
Non	47

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	-1
Rep	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 6)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
6	3	3

Analysis

MS is a sleeper race. Reeves is very unpopular and the race is getting little attention. It's very possible that Pressley can pull an upset

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	46	1	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	27/35	58/70	82.9%		5	12	97	T	305
2022 Governor	29/36	20/36	49/72	68.1%		4	12	241	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		3	15	48	T	118
2020 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%		6	13	627	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		3	11	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	15	147	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%		22	1	272	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%		17	3	189	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	54	40	T	149
Aggregate Predictions	219/251	145/251	364/502	72.5%

Links

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