Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	269
Rep	269
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	189
Rep	189
Ind	0
Tos	160

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+3	0	+17	0	0	0	20	2	252	+17
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-17	28	3	269	-17
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
74	45	24	4	1

Analysis

This is a prediction for a very realistic chance of an Electoral College tie.

If Obama carries all states that went Democrat in either 2000 or 2004, plus picks up Nevada, it will be a tie.

Although unplanned, even the confidence vote is tied.

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