PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - Ronnie (D-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:64

Prediction Map
Ronnie MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Ronnie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem364
 
Rep174
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem291
 
Rep138
 
Ind0
 
Tos109
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+90+112000202252+112
Rep000-90-112223174-112
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
97494143
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 46

We are currently seeing a gain for McCain in the polls. I just flipped NV, VA, and OH.


Version: 27

AL: McCain 60%, Obama 38%, Other 2% - STRONG MCCAIN
AK: McCain 52%, Obama 41%, Other 7% - LIKELY MCCAIN
AZ: McCain 54%, Obama 40%, Other 4% - STRONG MCCAIN
AR: McCain 55%, Obama 42%, Other 3% - STRONG MCCAIN
CA: Obama 56%, McCain 42%, Other 2% - STRONG OBAMA
CO: Obama 50%, McCain 46%, Other 4% - LEAN OBAMA
CT: Obama 54%, McCain 42%, Other 4% - STRONG OBAMA
DE: Obama 58%, McCain 41%, Other 3% - STRONG OBAMA
DC: Obama 90%, McCain 6%, Other 4% - STRONG OBAMA
FL: McCain 52%, Obama 46%, Other 2% - LIKELY MCCAIN
GA: McCain 54%, Obama 42%, Other 4% - STRONG MCCAIN
HI: Obama 62%, McCain 35%, Other 3% - STRONG OBAMA
ID: McCain 64%, Obama 32%, Other 4% - STRONG MCCAIN
IL: Obama 60%, McCain 37%, Other 3% - STRONG OBAMA
IN: McCain 52%, Obama 44%, Other 4% - LIKELY MCCAIN
IA: Obama 51%, McCain 46%, Other 3% - LIKELY OBAMA
KS: McCain 55%, Obama 42%, Other 3% - STRONG MCCAIN
KY: McCain 61%, Obama 38%, Other 3% - STRONG MCCAIN
LA: McCain 54%, Obama 43%, Other 3% - LIKELY MCCAIN
ME: Obama 55%, McCain 40%, Other 5% - STRONG OBAMA
MD: Obama 58%, McCain 37%, Other 5% - STRONG OBAMA
MA: Obama 58%, McCain 40%, Other 4% - STRONG OBAMA
MI: Obama 51%, McCain 48%, Other 2% - TOSSUP OBAMA
MN: Obama 55%, McCain 41%, Other 3% - STRONG OBAMA
MS: McCain 55%, Obama 43%, Other 2% - STRONG MCCAIN
MO: McCain 51%, Obama 47%, Other 2% - TOSSUP MCCAIN
MT: McCain 55%, Obama 43%, Other 2% - LIKELY MCCAIN
NE: McCain 60%, Obama 39%, Other 1% - STRONG MCCAIN
NV: McCain 49%, Obama 48%, Other 3% - TOSSUP MCCAIN
NH: Obama 50%, McCain 46%, Other 4% - LEAN OBAMA
NJ: Obama 53%, McCain 44%, Other 3% - STRONG OBAMA
NM: Obama 49%, McCain 48%, Other 3% - TOSSUP OBAMA
NY: Obama 57%, McCain 41%, Other 2% - STRONG OBAMA
NC: McCain 53%, Obama 46%, Other 2% - LIKELY MCCAIN
ND: McCain 54%, Obama 41%, Other 5% - STRONG MCCAIN
OH: Obama 50%, McCain 47%, Other 3% - TOSSUP OBAMA
OK: McCain 62%, Obama 36%, Other 2% - STRONG MCCAIN
OR: Obama 52%, McCain 46%, Other 4% - LIKELY OBAMA
PA: Obama 50%, McCain 46%, Other 4% - LEAN OBAMA
RI: Obama 57%, McCain 40%, Other 3% - STRONG OBAMA
SC: McCain 54%, Obama 43%, Other 3% - STRONG MCCAIN
SD: McCain 56%, Obama 42%, Other 2% - STRONG MCCAIN
TN: McCain 59%, Obama 40%, Other 1% - STRONG MCCAIN
TX: McCain 56%, Obama 43%, Other 3% - STRONG MCCAIN
UT: McCain 64%, Obama 32%, Other 4% - STRONG MCCAIN
VT: Obama 61%, McCain 34%, Other 5% - STRONG OBAMA
VA: McCain 50%, Obama 48%, Other 2% - TOSSUP MCCAIN
WA: Obama 56%, McCain 40%, Other 4% - STRONG OBAMA
WV: McCain 56%, Obama 42%, Other 2% - STRONG MCCAIN
WI: Obama 51%, McCain 46%, Other 3% - LIKELY OBAMA
WY: McCain 60%, Obama 38%, Other 2% - STRONG MCCAIN


**FINAL POPULAR VOTE** Obama 50%, McCain 47%, Other 3%


Version: 5

This past week:

NC: lean GOP to strong GOP
VA: lean GOP to tossup GOP


Version: 3

Obama becomes president due to the Democratic congress.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 53/56 37/56 90/112 80.4% pie 3 10 392T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 4 3 137T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 1 14 10T293
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 15 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 25/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 3 56T372
P 2016 President 48/56 33/56 81/112 72.3% pie 38 2 194T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 9 2 35T362
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 10 1 77T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 24/33 55/66 83.3% pie 8 1 20T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 4 51T228
P 2010 Senate 34/37 26/37 60/74 81.1% pie 29 0 54T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 22 0 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 53 56T103
P 2008 President 53/56 44/56 97/112 86.6% pie 64 1 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 30 1 117T407
P 2008 Governor 9/11 8/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 19 86T264
Aggregate Predictions 502/539 371/539 873/1078 81.0% pie


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