PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - ilikeverin (D-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:14

Prediction Map
ilikeverin MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
ilikeverin MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem338
 
Rep200
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem286
 
Rep163
 
Ind0
 
Tos89
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+70+86000202252+86
Rep000-70-86243200-86
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
96494043
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Some final fidgets with percentages.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 13

...I cannot believe I have Obama winning even if all the tossups go McCain. I must have accidentally imbibed illegal substances.


Version: 12

AAAH THE OPTIMISM

IT'S LIKE CRACK BUT BETTER

(Note that I'm being fairly generous with "lean" states)


Version: 11

AAH THE OPTIMISM IT SPREADS :(


Version: 10

How shameful! Saying Obama's going to win! Must... be... less... optimistic...


Version: 9

Oh, Palin...


Version: 8

Shifting things a bit more McCain.


Version: 7

Obama wins? Hmm, must be flawed.


Version: 6

Call me a pessimist, but hey... this is an improvement :)


Version: 5

NE-2 a tossup? Rhode Island >50% for a Dem? You'd better believe it in 2008.


Version: 4

Snooty latte liberals for Obama aren't enough to overcome McCain.


Version: 3

McCain v. Clinton.


Version: 2

Clinton thumps Huckabee.

(Sorry, Michigan should be solid Dem, Missouri lean Rep)


Version: 1

Guiliani squeaks past Obama.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 53/56 38/56 91/112 81.3% pie 6 6 359T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 16/35 46/70 65.7% pie 1 4 380T423
P 2016 President 51/56 35/56 86/112 76.8% pie 2 1 48T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 20/34 52/68 76.5% pie 1 1 35T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 1 1 25T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 22/36 56/72 77.8% pie 1 0 99T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 19/36 50/72 69.4% pie 1 0 39T300
P 2012 President 56/56 47/56 103/112 92.0% pie 7 1 26T760
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 18/52 61/104 58.7% pie 30 - 38T231
P 2008 President 53/56 43/56 96/112 85.7% pie 14 1 74T1,505
P 2008 Dem Primary 44/52 26/52 70/104 67.3% pie 17 - 16T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 15/49 53/98 54.1% pie 18 - 36T235
P 2004 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 13 4 98T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 529/586 344/586 873/1172 74.5% pie


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