PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - the rascal king (D-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:39

Prediction Map
the rascal king MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
the rascal king MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem375
 
Rep163
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem306
 
Rep143
 
Ind0
 
Tos89
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+100+123000202252+123
Rep000-100-123213163-123
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
97504142
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Obama wins 53% 44% final prediction and I'm sticking to it.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: the rascal king (D-MA) 2008-11-04 @ 01:48:40
I would like to hear your thoughts and encourage everyone to get out and vote today!!! prediction Map

 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-11-04 @ 05:05:48
Quite optimistic on the four nail-biters (IN NC FL MO) but too pessimistic in NV, that state now leans Obama and will vote over 50% for him. Ditto CA: it will be a superlative margin for Obama, probably around 24%, meaning a probable 60% victory.

And sorry Rascal I don't vote... Too French lol. But my girlfriend did cast an absentee ballot for Barack Obama and John Kerry and many other nameless faceless Democrats... (Yes she's D-MA just like you). Now she can't vote in France for two years, but since the presidential and general elections are up in 2012, it doesn't really matter.
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 By: the rascal king (D-MA) 2008-11-06 @ 23:43:51
LoL awesome french ed, regardless of your political belifes if your from Massachusetts and your dumb enough not to run as a democrat then you deserve to lose

I was One state off!!!One freaking state!!! Missouri screwed me again for some reason I have a feeling that CR and Jamespol are going to get a lot enjoyment out the fact there home state stopped me from getting this election 100% right:).

I would also like to say that I am totally thrilled with the results!!! I also decided to suck it up and vote for obama on election day, only time will tell what kind of president what Obama will be, governing the country is a whole different ball game then winning the election. lets hope for the best.

anyone who has any sense of American History whether you voted for obama or not should take pride in the fact that America elected its first African American president, after slavery,lynchings segrergation and the civil rights era. more and more people have stopped seeing each other as black and white, more and more people have started to see each other as fellow Americans and fellow human being's. I hope can only hope that having obama as president will amplify that trend in stead of pushing it backword.


Last Edit: 2008-11-06 @ 23:45:14
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 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 00:45:47
Good critiques, French, applicable to my map as well. You did very well Rascal.

I too was obviously thrilled. I still can't hardly believe that I live in a Blue state! How about that clip of Jesse Jackson crying. How poignant.
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 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 03:05:22
Check out these photos from the Mansaas rally:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/6/185639/557/829/656171

Awesome.
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User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2008 President 54/56 43/56 97/112 86.6% pie 39 0 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 3 120 281T407
P 2008 Dem Primary 32/52 10/52 42/104 40.4% pie 2 - 95T271
Aggregate Predictions 116/141 67/141 183/282 64.9% pie


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