Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-26 Version:11

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	378
Rep	160
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	291
Rep	157
Ind	0
Tos	90

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+11	0	+126	0	0	0	20	2	252	+126
Rep	0	0	0	-11	0	-126	20	3	160	-126
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
93	49	38	4	2

Analysis

The Republican party has lost its soul, and no longer deserve to win this election. The Reagan revolution is over.

The efforts against terrorism in the Middle East will fail. Democracy in the Middle East will fail. Free market economics have failed. The Republican party has failed itself and more importantly the ideologies it was founded on.

Put more bluntly, the Republican party is not currently a relevant factor in national politics.The Democrats will pick up at least 7, possibly 8 or 9 Senate seats and 20-35 in the House. In the next 10 years, the Republican party will become a regional party only relevant in rural states.

The President is now irrelevant and probably has been for at least a year. John McCain is irrelevant and will lose this election in a fashion reminiscent of Adlai Stevenson, by at least 9 points and possibly upwards of 12. 'Joe the Plumber' cannot save John McCain any more than Joe Lieberman can.

In short, it's over.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%	11	9	139	T	1,505
2008 Dem Primary	4/52	0/52	4/104	3.8%	2	-	265	T	271
Aggregate Predictions	57/108	40/108	97/216	44.9%

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