Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-01-01 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Analysis

Average of data from 1964 until 2004, with 2004's results being given double weight.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: CollectiveInterest (I-IL) 2008-01-02 @ 14:46:15
If you don't weight 2004, how's it come out?

By: jamespol (I-MO) 2008-01-02 @ 14:50:54
Not everything is going to be like 2004 forever. Sheesh.

By: bonncaruso (D-DEU) 2008-01-02 @ 17:50:03
I agree with you. And don't ever pee in a headwind.

By: dwperry (L-NH) 2008-01-03 @ 03:18:19
If 2004 isn't given extra weight: West Virginia goes Democrat; Iowa, New Mexico & New Jersey go Republican I know that not everything will be like 2004, in 4 years, the formula will use 2008. Last Edit: 2008-01-03 @ 03:22:59

By: bonncaruso (D-DEU) 2008-01-03 @ 09:30:35
Very unlikely. No poll evidence or trends to support this claim.

By: CR (--MO) 2008-01-03 @ 13:59:30
Who cares what the polls say. They are not the finally authority, the people are. But the red-blue divide is over. Anything is possible.

By: dwperry (L-NH) 2008-01-10 @ 03:19:23
All we need to SHATTER the Red/Blue divide is a good showing by a "minor/third" party candidate. I'd love to see Ron Paul/Dennis Kucinich on a ticket against the Republicratic duopoly.

By: bonncaruso (D-DEU) 2008-01-10 @ 07:13:47
Paul and Kucinich together?!? Oh, dear Lord, you need to get out of OZ, the helium there is going to your brain... The RED/BLUE divide will change and morph itself all in good time...

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