Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:7

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	294
Rep	244
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	267
Rep	145
Ind	0
Tos	126

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+6	0	+42	0	0	0	20	2	252	+42
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-42	25	3	244	-42
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
74	46	22	4	2

Analysis

Not much change from my last map. Except I have moved Virginia to Obama. Although if he pulls it out it will be by less than 3%. I also moved Florida back to McCain, it will be just as tight as Virginia. And I threw in one surprise, North Dakota, A long shot but possible. As I said from the start,Obama's path to victory goes through the west. I still feel that way and I think it will be closer than the pundits think.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	50/56	24/56	74/112	66.1%	7	0	734	T	1,505
2004 President	54/56	37/56	91/112	81.3%	2	14	164	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	104/112	61/112	165/224	73.7%

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