Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-31 Version:4

Prediction Map

Minerva Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Minerva Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	424
Rep	114
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	363
Rep	111
Ind	0
Tos	64

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+16	+1	+172	0	0	0	20	2	252	+172
Rep	0	0	0	-16	-1	-172	15	2	114	-172
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
78	44	30	3	1

Analysis

McCain's GOTV appears to be a joke...

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	47/56	31/56	78/112	69.6%		4	4	574	T	1,505
2008 Senate	28/33	15/33	43/66	65.2%		1	20	303	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	17/52	7/52	24/104	23.1%		1	-	183	T	271
2004 President	53/56	30/56	83/112	74.1%		1	2	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	145/197	83/197	228/394	57.9%

Links

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