Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-02 Version:14

Prediction Map

nrafter530 Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

nrafter530 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	367
Rep	171
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	291
Rep	142
Ind	0
Tos	105

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+10	0	+115	0	0	0	20	2	252	+115
Rep	0	0	0	-10	0	-115	21	3	171	-115
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
95	48	40	4	3

Analysis

My final prediction

Obama- 52%
McCain- 47%

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%		14	2	100	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%		4	15	14	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	15	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	38/52	19/52	57/104	54.8%		4	-	55	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	16/49	3/49	19/98	19.4%		1	-	162	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	21/33	52/66	78.8%		3	101	113	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	20/36	55/72	76.4%		4	43	71	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	216/270	137/270	353/540	65.4%

Links

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