Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:12

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	318
Rep	220
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	273
Rep	174
Ind	0
Tos	91

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+6	0	+66	0	0	0	20	2	252	+66
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-66	25	3	220	-66
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
85	48	32	4	1

Analysis

Here are the margins of victory I predict nationwide and in each state.

US: D by 5

AL: R by 28.

AK: R by 12

AZ: R by 7

AR: R by 13

CA: D by 18

CO: D by 5

CT: D by 20

DE: D by 16

DC: D by 83

FL: D by 2

GA: R by 6

HI: D by 25

ID: R by 22

IL: D by 18

IN: R by 5

IA: D by 13

KS: R by 20

KY: R by 15

LA: R by 14

ME statewide: D by 13

ME-1: D by 16

ME-2: D by 10

MD: D by 20

MA: D by 17

MI: D by 11

MN: D by 10

MS: R by 12

MO: R by 3

MT: R by 5

NE statewide: R by 25

NE-1: R by 14

NE-2: R by 5

NE-3: R by 50

NV: D by 3

NH: D by 5

NJ: D by 12

NM: D by 7

NY: D by 18

NC: R by 3

ND: R by 4

OH: R by 2

OK: 40

OR: D by 14

PA: D by 7

RI: D by 16

SC: R by 9

SD: R by 12

TN: R by 16

TX: R by 11

UT: R by 23

VT: D by 26

VA: D by 4

WA: D by 14

WI: D by 8

WV: R by 14

WY: R by 17

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	34/36	22/36	56/72	77.8%	2	0	99	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	18/36	49/72	68.1%	1	0	56	T	300
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	4	0	47	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	20/33	50/66	75.8%	3	0	111	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	3	0	51	T	228
2010 Senate	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%	3	12	100	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%	4	6	29	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	3	10	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%	12	1	357	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%	7	38	172	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	9/11	19/22	86.4%	3	1	27	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	4	2	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	25/33	58/66	87.9%	18	0	10	T	465
2006 Governor	36/36	22/36	58/72	80.6%	14	1	44	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	395/420	273/420	668/840	79.5%

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