Well this is my last Democratic primary map. I feel that Barak Obama will be the winner. Too bad for Hillary Clinton, got to say I did not see that one coming. For all practical purposes this race is over.

Well this is my last Democratic primary map. I feel that Barak Obama will be the winner. Too bad for Hillary Clinton, got to say I did not see that one coming. For all practical purposes this race is over.

And the Democratic race rolls on and on and on.......

Common Hillary, TAKE IT TO DENVER!!!!
Operation Chaos!!!

So here we are in the post Pennslyvania Democratic primary era. When will all the fun stop? Not any time soon I hope, lol. Onward to the convention. Go Operation Chaos! Hey you can't blame a Republican for trying right ;)

Just a few adjustments in continuing struggle between Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama that is the Democratic primay. I think Obama will be the nominee but knowing the Clintons as I do, Hillary has nothing left to loose. She'll fight this thing out all the way to the convention. I'm sure of it. Of course Obama will still be the nominee but she won't make it easy. Hillary seems like she'd rather burn the party to the ground than give up the nomination.

Right now the only state I'm really on the fence with is Indiana. Pennslyvania, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Peuto Rico are Hillaryland. Oregon, South Dakota, North Carolina, and Montana belong to Obama. The question now is, what will Indiana do. Obama is strong in the cities and college towns. Hillary is good in the rural areas and with moderate and blue collar Democrats. Both Ohio and Illionis have an influence. Which way will it break? I'll predict that after I see how big Hillary's win is in Pennslyvania.

Now its impossible for either candidate to get the upper hand. I think we're headed for a brokered convention.

I think that Obama is going to win this thing. Texas will be the key. If Hillary loses it then she's done. Personally I think this is Obama's race to lose. Time will tell but we are on our way to the general election.

Few minor updates.

Just a few minor adjustments. I think Obama has the full potential to win this whole thing, nomination and White House. He has out raised Clinton in money and new few contests are going to prove to be wins for him if all plays out. I fully expect Obama to win Maine today and then DC, Virginia, and Maryland on Tuesday. After that I think that based on what we have seen in Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois that he'll have the strength to carry Wisconsin and of course his birth state of Hawaii and leftist strong hold.

With such wins under his belt he'll have collected massive amounts of money and greater momentum. He was pronounced dead going into Super Tuesday and survived. He thrived last night. The conest could be decided on March 4. Based on what I've seen out of Florida, Nevada, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Arizona, and California he seems to have troubles in largely latino areas. I think Hillary could claim a victory in Texas.

But that is not assured because Texas does have a large black population as well so it may be closed. Obama did come razon close to winning New Mexico, we'll be watching it closely. The key is Ohio. If it falls Hillary has a problem. Coupling his other wins I think he could go on to win Pennslyvania and that would be it.

We'll see how thing progress. Change can be expected in such close contests.

Okay so I ran the race out. I hope it looks good but so far I've done a better job than I expected to in calling the Democratic race. I personally hope Obama wins the primary. The battle rages on.....

Obama is looking to be building up strength. Clinton may just come back and suprise us but I think as of right now the ball is in Obama's court.

Final prediction before Super Tuesday.

Final prediction before Super Tuesday.

I have no idea who is going to win the Democratic nomination. Hillary looks to be in a good position but because delegates get divided up I really don't know. Obama has build quite a resistance to the Clintons, even getting the Kennedys on board. We'll know in a week but so far I've called the Democratic race pretty good. Which is kindof weird for a Republican.

This race has become just as hard to call as the one on the GOP side. Both are so fluid, I don't want to make any long term predictions at this point. The fight between Obama and Hillary has gotten pretty serious and we'll see how it effects the up coming races.

Wow the Demcratic race is getting more divided the further along we go. At this point I don't know who will win so I have created a tie until I get more data from the different results of the races. The racial split in the Democratic race is unheard of. I think Edwards may get out soon and endorse Obama. We'll see but a group of undecided voters in Nevada are split 50/50.

Super Tuesday will tell us a lot but the race could go beyond that date. The Clinton loyalists and anti-Clinton forces are really battling it out for control of the party. At least that is how it seems to this outsider. I do believe that Obama can and may well win Nevada and South Carolina while Mrs. Clinton will claim Florida.

We shall see. On to Nevada!

New dynamics have emerged in the Democratic race. For a time I toyed with the idea that Obama may win. But I knew Clinton Inc was stronger than that. Obama is not dead yet, he'll battle her through Super Tuesday, and he has the money and support to do it. We'll see how it plays out. Nevada is going to be Hillary's so will Michigan and Florida. I still believe that South Carolina goes to Obama along with most of the south. She'll take big states I'm sure. Lets see what the voters think.

I think that Barak Obama may be well on his way to winning the nomination of his party. This is clearly become an anti-DC year. For the most part he is seen as the candidate of change that can lead America with optmism into a better future. Hillary was suppose to be unstoppible. She had the most support in Iowa, the most money, the most endorsements. And she lost. She even lost the female vote, 30-35. Younger voters and those seeking change, plus independents and voters of other candidates, went to Obama.

Now I think he may be poised to win New Hampshire and South Carolina. Hillary may win Michigan as the sole candidate but it has been stripped of its voting delagation. Nevada will save her but she could lose Florida to Barak. We'll see about that.

Then on Super Tuesday Obama could win in California, the South, and Midwest. Hillary would do well in the rust belt. She may stay in the race until March where she graps Ohio but a lose in Texas would knock her out.

We'll see what the people think.

I think that Barak Obama may be well on his way to winning the nomination of his party. This is clearly become an anti-DC year. For the most part he is seen as the candidate of change that can lead America with optmism into a better future. Hillary was suppose to be unstoppible. She had the most support in Iowa, the most money, the most endorsements. And she lost. She even lost the female vote, 30-35. Younger voters and those seeking change, plus independents and voters of other candidates, went to Obama.

Now I think he may be poised to win New Hampshire and South Carolina. Hillary may win Michigan as the sole candidate but it has been stripped of its voting delagation. Nevada will save her but she could lose Florida to Barak. We'll see about that.

Then on Super Tuesday Obama could win in California, the South, and Midwest. Hillary would do well in the rust belt. She may stay in the race until March where she graps Ohio but a lose in Texas would knock her out.

We'll see what the people think.

Alright as we head into the final stretch of the primary race I'm looking more and more at Mrs. Clinton gaining the nomination. Now Obama could still prove trouble some to her and keep the race going up till March. In addition to that I still believe that Obama has a chance to win but here I have given the nomination to Hillary. Notice I have placed all states at the tossup level because I feel that the polls are unrelible and we have to see what the voters think. So lets go through the time line.

To being, Obama must win in Iowa to stay in the race. If Hillary wins there, he's done and she is the nominee. I kindof feel that it is that simple though Obama could still suprise us. If he wins in New Hampshire instead of Iowa well that would keep him in but it'd be hard after a lose in Iowa.

So here Obama wins Iowa but loses New Hampshire to Hillary who goes on to win Michigan and Nevada. However Obama comes back to gain South Carolina before Hillary scoops up Florida. However, because Florida and Michigan have been stripped of their delegates I don't know if they will matter as much, but a win's a win. So now on Super Tuesday Obama cleans up in the south and some in the western states like Idaho, Colorado, and Alaska. Illinois is his as well. Hillary cleans up the rest.

Now at this point Edwards and the others drop out and Obama really should too but he stays in winning the next two contests in Nebraska and Louisiana. But he has a fierce battle with Hillary over Washington state where he loses. After a couple more defeats Obama concedes and Hillary goes on to win the remaining contests.

My last version is the best Obama win senerio if you would like to see it. This is probably what could happen but there are also other senerios too. We shall see what the voters think.

New map, new idea. It seems to me with recent events that Barak Obama may be capible of beating Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination. I seriously doubt at this point that Richardson, Biden, Edwards, Gravel, or any of the others pose a real challenge to either of them. Edwards could however still have a strong showing in the early states, especially Iowa. Lets run the time line.

Barak Obama works the gambit and comes out on top in Iowa, gaining about 40% of the vote. Hillary runs in second somewhere in the mid-30's while Edwards comes in at about 29%. Five days later Obama just barely wins New Hampshire. Hillary comes back to win big in Michigan and then again in Nevada. Her Nevada margins are closer than she'd like though. South Carolina is another big victory for Obama but Hillary remains in the race winning Florida.

Super Tuesday give Obama a great opertunity. He manages to gain the southern Democratic electorate with the aid of many black voters and scores well in the west. Hillary holds her own with wins in California, New York, and other parts of the Northeast. Much to her suprise however, Massachusetts, Missouri, and Colorado prove to be Obama victories. Richardson wins in New Mexico with Clinton second and Obama third.

The rest of February finds Obama and Clinton picking up various states. The others minor candidates drop out. Most of their support swings to Obama with the exception of Richardson's camp as he endorses Mrs. Clinton. She gains Ohio in early March but Obama pulls out a narrow win in Texas. Edwards finally pulls out of the race and with most of the big states gone and the south lost, Hillary concedes to Barak Obama who wins the remaining states.

One possibility of many.

Hillary Clinton will for sure be the Democratic nominee. At least at this point. I am beginning to supect though that Barak Obama could give her a run for her money. He has the potnential to make the early states dicey for her and pull off some supprises in Georgia, Kansas, and maybe Oregon though this map does not show that particular possibility.

The other Democratic nominees will surely drop out after the early states are finished and all be Obama will be done by the end of Super Tuesday. Obama may linger for a couple weeks there after, maybe picking up Nebraska but that would ba about it. He drop out and Hillary would carry the remaining states.

I'm not an expert on the Democratic races so this is the best I could come up with.

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