Changes:

Kentucky -- Clinton > 70% to Clinton > 60%

Hillary takes Texas, Ohio, and Rhode Island

Obama wins Vermont by a butt ton.

I believe Hillary is finished. She may win Ohio and Rhode Island, but it is looking less likely by the day that she'll win Texas. Obama wins Texas and Vermont on March 4th and Hillary takes Rhode Island and Ohio by a slim margin.

Looks like Obama is carrying lots of momentum into tomorrow's primaries and will win them by a large margin. It appears like Clinton's best shot to win will come in the Wisconsin primary next week. If she loses there, wait till mini-Super Tuesday.

I honestly have no idea if Obama's surge nationally will continue on into Super Tuesday. Here are the states I am reasonably sure each candidate will win come tomorrow.

Clinton: New York, New Jersey, Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Tennessee. She also leans in Arizona, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, and Kansas.

Obama: Illinois, Colorado, Utah, Georgia, and Idaho. He also has a good chance in New Mexico, Alaska and Alabama.

California, Connecticut, Delaware, and Minnesota are all pure tossups and while I suspect Clinton could win them all, I can't say for sure Obama could pull an upset.

Right now I don't see much hope for Obama in terms of winning states, but it's possible he could pick up a nice chunk of delegates by finishing close behind Hillary. Her best states will be the tri-state area of NY, NJ and CT, while Obama will do well in the south and Illinois.

Clinton is in the drivers seat. Obama will win across the deep south with a large majority of blacks, but everywhere else will go to Clinton. Winning SC will be largely irrelevant because it will be spun as the blacks winning an election for Obama.

NM will go to lean Clinton for now. I expect most of Richardson's supporters will float towards Hillary since they both ran on an experience platform. Obama has a big lead in SC, and Nevada could go either way. None of the Super Tuesday states outside of IL, ARK, NY, NJ, and CT are realy easy to call right now.

I am beginning to believe that Hillary's run is over. Obama has a real shot at cracking 40% of the vote in New Hampshire, and 50% in South Carolina. Anything less than 80% of the vote in Michigan will also be a loss for Hillary in Michigan. As of now, much of the nation is a tossup, but Obama is in prime position for the nomination. Hillary's implosion has been astounding.

After the Obama win, it appears as if he has legs to win New Hampshire and Nevada. Clinton will win Michigan since she is the only candidate on the ballot. After South Carolina, where I can see Obama winning, it will be a hard call. Clinton has a massive organization in many of the big states across the country, but Obama will have SC, NV, NH, and IA under his belt, while Clinton will have only Michigan and Florida, both which have no delegates at the convention.

So .. as of now I am undecided. I still have a gut feeling that Hillary gets back on her feet and beats Obama rather soundly, but not before he has made some noise in the early states. She'll finish second in New Hampshire thanks to the independent turnout.

I honestly believe Edwards will surprise people in Iowa on Thursday and win by a slim margin over Barack Obama. This will cause the independents to come out in New hampshire to support McCain, giving Clinton a slim margin of victory for her in that state over Obama. She wins Michigan and Nevada, and Obama wins a close race in South Carolina, thanks to the African American voter turnout.

After SC, Clinton runs the table as Obama's record and vision comes under intense scrutiny. His bubble bursts and the Democratic party mobilizes around Hillary Clinton, as she steamrolls her way through the rest of the primaries, taking every state but Illinois (Obama), and New Mexico (Richardson). Edwards hangs around and drops out following Clinton's sweep of Super Tuesday, as he fails to win either Carolina.

Obama may do well in early states like Iowa and New Hampshire. But Clinton wins a narrow victory in the Granite State and then steamrolls her way through Super Tuesday. Obama will win Illinois and South Carolina thanks to the African American turnout.

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