Date of Prediction: 2008-02-07 Version:21
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
Analysis
Based on the newsflash that Romney is out!
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 27 McCain to win MS with at least 80% Version: 26 McCain all the way from now on (the only question mark being will Paul continue or will he concede as well?) Version: 24 McCain sweep, wins the nomination and nominates Huckabee as VP Version: 23 Following the decision of Romney to endorse McCain, I am assuming that all Romney votes will go to McCain Version: 22 WA goes Huckabee (assuming that the primary reflects the caucus result), WI leans McCain Version: 21 Based on the newsflash that Romney is out! Version: 20 Judging how well Huckabee seems to be doing in the Christian South, two Huckabee wins! Version: 19 AP, Fox News and NBC/MSNBC have all projected Huckabee as the winner of the WV county convention. Version: 18 Huckabee wins the South, Romney wins the West (bar CA), McCain wins the East (bar MA). Version: 17 Huckabee should win the Southern States, McCain the North Eastern States and Romney should win the western states (bar CA) Version: 16 Just wondering which states are likely to back McCain following these endorsements. Version: 15 NY: Guiliani to McCain (following endorsement) Version: 14 McCain wins Florida (because of the endorsement) Version: 13 More random guesses Version: 12 Some more random guesses for Super Tuesday Version: 11 McCain appears to be winning it in FL (although the Hawaii result could have some influence) Version: 10 If as I get the impression Romney is being seen as the frontrunner then I expect Hawaii will probably back him (although as it is a multi day caucus I don't know what to expect) Version: 9 Romney to win NV by a landslide (based on comment on NBC news) Version: 8 Going out on a bit of a limb here (and know that I am risking my prefect GOP record here). South Carolina: Huckabee / Romney tossup, Nevada: Romney win. Version: 7 Romney to win Nevada with a bigger majority than recently, Huckabee to win South Carolina as a tossup between him and McCain Version: 6 No real change. Romney / McCain tossup Version: 5 Romney at the moment but will update before the polls open Version: 4 I completely forgot about Wyoming (and not knowing the system wouldn't have hazard a guess anyway). New Hampshire, McCain / Romney toss up Version: 3 Another Huckabee tossup in New Hampshire (30% - 33%) with Romney in second Version: 2 Iowa: Huckabee wins with between 30% and 33% just squeaking ahead of Romney Version: 1 I'm only doing it a week in advance of each state's primary (as I have only a basic understanding). At the moment I expect Huckabee to win IA and Romney to just scrape NH
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