Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-01-10 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	186
Rep	352
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	128
Rep	170
Ind	0
Tos	240

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-14	-1	-173	15	2	186	-173
Rep	+14	+1	+173	0	0	0	22	2	179	+173
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
72	39	26	5	2

Analysis

Depends on economy. If some kind of EPIC FAIL would happen, then it is a easy walk for GOP nominee.
EPIC FAIL + Romney = GOP victory in MA, CT, DE, NJ, WA, OR less by 1-2%.
Call me a nut, but...

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	51/56	32/56	83/112	74.1%	2	199	114	T	678
2016 Senate	33/34	19/34	52/68	76.5%	1	7	35	T	362
2012 President	44/56	28/56	72/112	64.3%	2	301	720	T	760
2012 Senate	17/33	4/33	21/66	31.8%	1	266	339	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	266	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	25/52	5/52	30/104	28.8%	7	-	154	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	179/242	93/242	272/484	56.2%