Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-01-15 Version:11

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

Confidence States Won

State Pick-ups

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Analysis

Ron Paul vs. Obama

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: albaleman (D-MN) 2012-01-31 @ 18:48:38
LOL... There's nothing quite like a good paulbot!

By: CR (--MO) 2012-01-31 @ 19:10:21
I wondered how long until you saw this map Al.

By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2012-02-01 @ 12:23:46
Is that a pig outside my window flying to the airport?

By: me (I-GA) 2012-02-09 @ 22:01:54
probably to a ron paul rally. Last Edit: 2012-02-09 @ 22:02:21

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-02-10 @ 06:13:12
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

By: RickMcGinnis93 (I-IN) 2012-02-10 @ 20:41:41
I don't think Illinois would be a swing state haha but hey we'll see I suppose. Can't say I expect Paul to be the nominee either.

By: satyrday (I-MI) 2012-02-10 @ 23:59:19
Paul also takes Nutjobistan. Um...where's that on the map?

By: Samdog67 (R-MS) 2012-02-13 @ 18:13:37
This map has the blues.

By: me (I-GA) 2012-02-13 @ 20:56:34
LOL

By: Ickey415 (--IA) 2012-02-13 @ 21:20:13
18.2% accuracy, huh? Probably better than that in this map, anyway, but not by much.

By: BYUmormon (R-UT) 2012-03-31 @ 14:11:21
Too bad this isn't what its going to look like. Were you serious when you made this? Ron Paul is not going to be the Republican nominee, especially when he hasn't won a single state, although he sort of won the Virgin Islands. Hey at least your optimistic.

By: Jerseyrules (I-CA) 2012-06-05 @ 00:26:55
I haven't updated in a while, and I don't plan to until finals get out. Assholes (most of you). Anyway, I made this even before the Iowa caucus. This was when I thought Ron Paul would win there, and all the polls confirmed it. If this bothers you, I don't care. If it makes you laugh, good for you. I'm barely awake right now, so please stop trolling kthxbai

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-06-05 @ 16:25:33
Hope your finals go well, and have a beer afterwards to relax, celebrate or whatever-have a good summer....

By: Lamrock (D-WA) 2012-06-05 @ 21:19:31
How dare people have a laugh at your election prediction. What assholes!!!

By: Jerseyrules (I-CA) 2012-06-14 @ 17:02:50
Thanks dnul, and I'm sorry wowee, I don't mind criticism but sometimes it's kinda pathetic how people try and rip people a new one for the most optimistic scenario (which is what this is, and I've said so numerous times.)

By: bonncaruso (D-DEU) 2012-07-16 @ 14:18:21
Before I opened this map, I thought to myself, "hmmm, could it possibly be a Ronulan?" And behold, it was so. Hello, Ronulan. Somehow, it is just kind of humorous, you know.... I think you could help your cause a great deal by at least providing a well-grounded analysis why the man who did not win even one state in the GOP primaries is suddenly going to beat the sitting POTUS by such a massive EC landslide margin. And just to be clear about this: RI and MN have stronger Democratic voting histories than NY. Were you to strip Obama down to bare-bones in a landslide slaughter against the good doctor, these two states would be more believable in such a scenario. Not even Reagan was able to win MN in either 1980 or 1984... Last Edit: 2012-07-16 @ 14:19:20

By: Jerseyrules (I-CA) 2012-08-07 @ 15:23:25
Hello Bonncarusso. MN was very close in 2000. When the GOP nominated W. Reagan was close to carrying MN in both 80 and 84, when Mondale was on both tickets. He was even closer in 84 (within a few thousand votes) when Mondale headed the ticket. While tis true that I am a Ronulan, I don't think it's that realistic that Romney could carry MN, even without T-Paw on the ticket. While its true that some of the "safe", "lean" and "toss-up" predictions are a little weird, I'm too lazy to edit them. MN is evolving, and I think would go for the doctor before NY would, especially with Jesse Ventura coming out of exile to campaign for him. Anyway, thanks for the input. ;)

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-08-07 @ 16:31:35
And this year is a strong year for DFL in MN because the independents blame the GOP for the government shutdown AND absent Pawlenty-awful was blamed for lack of progress in jobs. The DFL will gain seats in the coming election with Klobuchar going to win by 20% or possibly more... Will it be closer than 2008-probably as most of the country will be but I expect a greater than5% for Obama here...

By: Ickey415 (--IA) 2012-08-12 @ 19:24:53
Ok, so I assume you're done with your finals by now? So could we get an update to this map and have it stop screwing up the average created by the rest of us with serious forecasts? You may think your inaction has no consequence for the rest of us but that is quite wrong. Please. It only takes 2 seconds to click on the edit button for crying out loud. We really could use a more accurate group prediction out here among the rest of us. Thanks in advance, -Jeff

User's Predictions