I must reluctantly return New Hampshire from R to D after the new average is out from RealClearPolitics.

More updates: Since the new average of polling in New Hampshire has Romney leading by a point, I'm switching it from D to R. (And that's even without the PPP poll that had Romney leading.) Yahoo! However, I am updating Montana from toss-up to lean R (why did I ever have that as a toss-up anyway?), NE-2 from lean R to toss-up (which I may regret later), and New Mexico from toss-up to lean D. Let's hope that Romney wins the debate tonight and boosts his numbers even more!

Another day, another update: after the first debate, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia go from 50%D to 50%R. If the current trends continue, I may be able to add Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio as well.

Changed Florida from 40% R to 50% D and North Carolina from 50%R to 50%D. Ugly stuff here.

I'm switching Iowa from Romney to Obama. I know the polls are dead even in that state between them, but I figured that it was too risky to bet on Romney taking it, even though it's a swing state. I had that feeling from the beginning and I now feel that it was just irrational to put it in Romney's column in the first place. But the polls in Iowa are about as deadlocked as they can be, so it's anybody's game out there.

My first major update. I would put Missouri under "toss-up", except that it was a McCain state in the last election, and since this election will probably be closer than the last one, I find it unlikely that President Obama carries the state. It's still a swing, state, though, so stay tuned.

This is my prediction for now. As the campaign goes on, with all its twists and turns, I will be editing this based on polling, demographics, voting patterns, etc.