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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:2

Prediction Map
Du_Chateau MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Du_Chateau MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem290
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos42
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-2-1-27272332-27
Rep+2+1+27000222179+27
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
98513854
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

No 50 State analysis. Never was able to get to it. I will say this four states will decide the election: Virgina, Flordia, Ohio, and New Hampshire. The election can be called on Election night or by Nov. 11th. It depends on when New York and New Jersey is called and if Obama wins Flordia. Flordia and Virgina could go either way but I think Obama could win in both states.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Du_Chateau (I-OH) 2012-11-07 @ 07:01:13 prediction Map
Wow. If Flordia stays for the president I accurately predicted every state. I did not accurately predict the precentages though. New York and Massachusetts getting greater than 60%. Vermont and Hawaii got less then 70%. All in all a good election.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President 44/56 22/56 66/112 58.9% pie 7 0 614T
P 2016 Senate 28/34 16/34 44/68 64.7% pie 3 5 302T
P 2014 Senate 28/36 17/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 42 282T
P 2014 Governor 26/36 13/36 39/72 54.2% pie 1 42 253T
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 2 1 182T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 12/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 1 211T
P 2010 Senate 24/37 9/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 165 441T
P 2008 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 4 6 276T
P 2004 President 52/56 22/56 74/112 66.1% pie 19 6 1527T
Aggregate Predictions 343/400 188/400 531/800 66.4% pie


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