Final Prediction - First off, I don't think there will be any surprises in the "safe" states, which means the EV count starts out at 237 Obama - 191 Romney. Second, of the nine swing states I think it's clear that Obama has leads of various magnitudes in seven (NV,WI,OH,IA,NH,VA,CO) while Romney clearly leads in one (NC), which brings the EV count to 303 O - 206 R. Finally, the only real tossup in my book is Florida. Unlike all the other states, the late polling has diverged widely - showing margins anywhere from Obama +5 to Romney +5, with most of the higher quality pollsters in between. Since the polling is a push and the absolute margin between the candidates is so small, I opted to give it to Obama on the account of his superior turnout operation, but that being said this is probably my riskiest pick. Anyways, that leaves my final EV count at 332 O - 206 R.