PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - kccatty () ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-02 Version:1

Prediction Map
kccatty MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
kccatty MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem369
 
Rep169
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem353
 
Rep169
 
Ind0
 
Tos16
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+20+21-10-11283348+10
Rep+10+11-20-21202158-10
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
93483843
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Obama electoral college and popular vote blow out with long coattails.


Member Comments
 By: Buttetonian (I-WA) 2012-10-02 @ 16:47:56 prediction Map
Kind of like the Meg Whitman fiasco -- at some point all the money in the world will back-fire. I guess we can thank Koach Bros.

 By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-10-02 @ 18:33:23 prediction Map
OK, who's going to be the new Democratic Majority Leader in the House?

Because this map assures Nancy and Co. of picking up at least 65 House seats.

 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-10-02 @ 19:28:27 prediction Map
well I think I would agree with WR on this however, this is a fantasy map in this election...if I am thinking of abandoning Obama and i have never voted GOP then there is still something out there we are not catching...

after coming of age for Johnson in 1964 I have been in the fold of the FDR parents for a long time...but we need new thinking and I must admit I do not see it from any of these candidates...its looking more and more like the Libertarians for me...

 By: CR (--MO) 2012-10-02 @ 20:45:35 prediction Map
I have to say dnul as a fiscal conservative and federalist (states' rights if you want) I too feel drawn to the libertarians. Not totally, their are some parts of their platform that really turn me off but a hybrid version might suit me pretty well.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 1 35 401T760
P 2008 President 50/56 38/56 88/112 78.6% pie 1 306 276T1,505
P 2008 Dem Primary 32/52 7/52 39/104 37.5% pie 1 - 110T271
P 2004 President 48/56 35/56 83/112 74.1% pie 9 6 926T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 182/220 121/220 303/440 68.9% pie


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