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Predictions2012 Republican Presidential Primary Predictions - Twindad46 (R-IL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2011-12-28 Version:1

Prediction Map
Twindad46 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Twindad46 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Huntsman0
 
Gingrich6
 
Romney38
 
Paul0
 
Santorum0
 
Cain0
 
Perry7
 
Other1
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Huntsman0
 
Gingrich0
 
Romney5
 
Paul0
 
Santorum0
 
Cain0
 
Perry0
 
Other0
 
Tossup47
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
39354
piepiepie

Analysis

I really wish someone else was running.


Member Comments
 By: me (I-GA) 2011-12-30 @ 17:40:49
Who woukd you like to run?prediction Map
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2011-12-30 @ 18:18:30
My guesses: Jindal, Christie, Rubio, and maybe Thune. You know, thinking back on it, Thune made a huge mistake by not running. He'd be the clear frontrunner by now.prediction Map
 By: CR (--MO) 2011-12-30 @ 20:05:31
I agree with you Twindad. I wish someone else had run too. I really like Al's list but I'd also add Bob McDonnell and Mike Pence. Shame really. Thune should have ran.

But we work with what we have.

Last Edit: 2011-12-30 @ 20:09:15		prediction Map
 By: me (I-GA) 2011-12-31 @ 15:38:26
Thune had almost no support in polls. why would be leading now?
prediction Map
 By: So Ra No Wo To (D-KY) 2011-12-31 @ 18:15:06
It's embarrassing to admit now but I was sure Hatch was going to be the GOP nominee this time last year -- he would have been a juggernaut of a candidate too.prediction Map
 By: So Ra No Wo To (D-KY) 2011-12-31 @ 18:19:48
Perry's already out of cash, I doubt he'd survive long enough to win these states if he loses SC. Ditto for Bachmann, if she's in the race long enough to lose her home state, I will be very surprised.prediction Map
 By: CR (--MO) 2011-12-31 @ 21:19:59
Thune may have been low when the race started and was new but I bet he'd have done better. He is a stable and likable conservative. He'd have been an ideal alternative but he didn't have the fire in his belly so that's that. prediction Map
 By: albaleman (D-MN) 2012-01-01 @ 12:59:21
"Thune had almost no support in polls. why would be leading now?"

Because he's much better than any other of the candidates in the current field. He would have been a flavor of the month that could have lasted.		prediction Map
 By: me (I-GA) 2012-01-02 @ 13:52:09
You can say that about alot of almost candidates.prediction Map
 By: me (I-GA) 2012-01-02 @ 13:53:32
Hatch ran in 2000 and did poorly, why would he do good now?prediction Map

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 44/56 36/56 80/112 71.4% pie 2 332 627T684
P 2018 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 3 6 132T483
P 2016 President 54/56 34/56 88/112 78.6% pie 7 0 27T678
P 2014 Senate 34/36 18/36 52/72 72.2% pie 6 2 177T382
P 2014 Governor 32/36 13/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 2 145T300
P 2012 President 45/56 36/56 81/112 72.3% pie 7 4 670T760
P 2012 Senate 24/33 11/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 4 307T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 4/52 39/104 37.5% pie 1 - 111T231
P 2010 Senate 33/37 22/37 55/74 74.3% pie 4 2 133T456
Aggregate Predictions 333/397 195/397 528/794 66.5% pie


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