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PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - wingindy (I-IN) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-25 Version:11

Prediction Map
wingindy MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
wingindy MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem238
 
Rep300
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem213
 
Rep186
 
Ind0
 
Tos139
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-6-1-94211238-94
Rep+6+1+94000243206+94
Ind0000000000


Analysis

The Hillary special: snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2016-07-25 @ 06:32:42 prediction Map
I still think we Dems at least hold on to MI, except in a Trump blowout.
 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2016-08-04 @ 11:04:00 prediction Map
An October terrorist attack could do it.
 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2016-08-04 @ 20:23:01 prediction Map
You still believe that Trump is the favorite wingindy? The current polls show otherwise. It is true though we still have an "eternity" to go until Election Day. Wait and see as always.
 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2016-08-04 @ 20:31:56 prediction Map
And I still think MI definitely goes Democratic unless there is a huge Republican landslide. About an "October surprise" I don't think it would affect MI unless it's in the city of Detroit or any other place in MI. Wait and see as always.
 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2016-11-12 @ 18:46:20 prediction Map
Well, this turned out to be my most accurate map! Not a Trump blowout, yet he carried WI, too.<br />
 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2016-11-12 @ 20:22:34 prediction Map
Yes this did happen you nailed it wingindy, much to my complete surprise and complete dismay. :'( Trump almost carried NH as well. You missed on just WI and NH, and even then not by very much.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 7 6 434T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 21/35 54/70 77.1% pie 4 4 101T423
P 2018 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 3 27 132T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 3 21 94T372
P 2016 President 53/56 22/56 75/112 67.0% pie 21 1 440T678
P 2016 Senate 28/34 17/34 45/68 66.2% pie 5 5 277T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 2/12 9/24 37.5% pie 1 94 269T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 4 0 122T382
P 2014 Governor 27/36 17/36 44/72 61.1% pie 2 16 171T300
P 2012 President 54/56 41/56 95/112 84.8% pie 9 0 314T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 14/33 46/66 69.7% pie 1 191 189T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 12/52 47/104 45.2% pie 10 - 83T231
P 2010 Senate 35/37 21/37 56/74 75.7% pie 9 15 116T456
P 2010 Governor 30/37 15/37 45/74 60.8% pie 1 299 214T312
P 2008 President 54/56 44/56 98/112 87.5% pie 22 1 41T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 5 1 14T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 1 4 86T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 45/52 21/52 66/104 63.5% pie 8 - 26T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 43/49 11/49 54/98 55.1% pie 11 - 31T235
Aggregate Predictions 671/752 389/752 1060/1504 70.5% pie


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