PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - thachem (I-DC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:6

Prediction Map
thachem MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
thachem MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem294
 
Rep244
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem272
 
Rep186
 
Ind0
 
Tos80
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+10+15-30-53242279-38
Rep+30+53-10-15233191+38
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
81472743
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final prediction. FL could still go the other way, but it may not matter.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 5

VA, CO and NM have turned strong Dem strongholds, while the GOP has not compensated yet in PA and MI. <br /> Clinton path to presidency seems unstoppable


Version: 4

With VA and CO turning more Democrat leaning every election, and with PA still in the column of the Democrats, despite the constant move towards GOP, there is no chance for the White House to turn Republican, unless the GOP reinvents itself


Version: 3

Dems coalesce around their candidate leading to a score better than Obama in 2012


Version: 2

The coalition of the Dems that carried Obama to the White House falls apart after the backers of Sanders refuse to vote for Clinton.<br /> Yet, despite losing NH, OH, FL and the 2nd District of Maine, Clinton holds to Nevada, thanks to the Hispanic Vote as well as the PA and MI, traditional Democrat strongholds and crawls to victory


Version: 1

Riding on a coalition of minorities, young and urban voters, Clinton bests Obama 2012 score and the GOP needs to reinvent itself or kiss the white house goodbye for another decade


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 51/56 30/56 81/112 72.3% pie 6 1 194T678
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 9 1 77T760
P 2012 Rep Primary 39/52 21/52 60/104 57.7% pie 10 - 41T231
Aggregate Predictions 145/164 97/164 242/328 73.8% pie


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