Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2015-10-14 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	332
Rep	206
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	285
Rep	191
Ind	0
Tos	62

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	0	0	0	27	2	332	0
Rep	0	0	0	0	0	0	24	3	206	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
76	45	24	4	3

Analysis

Only four states were decided in 2012 by fewer than 5 percentage points. The Republicans could sweep those four states in 2016 and would still lose the election. They will have to pick off a state they lost by 5 percent or more in order to win.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	49/56	27/56	76/112	67.9%	1	391	409	T	678
2016 Senate	33/34	17/34	50/68	73.5%	1	391	89	T	362
2014 Senate	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%	1	417	273	T	382
Aggregate Predictions	111/126	61/126	172/252	68.3%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Presidential Predictions Home

Back to 2016 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home