PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - Ernest (D-SC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-10-29 Version:14

Prediction Map
Ernest MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Ernest MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem322
 
Rep210
 
Ind6
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem272
 
Rep157
 
Ind0
 
Tos109
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+10+15-2-1-25251307-10
Rep+2+1+25-20-21223185+4
Ind+10+6000000+6


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
78452553
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Looked over every contest today. Between Johnson's expectable collapse and the slight pullback in Clinton's fortune, my map is looking rosier for Trump, but still not rosy enuf to be a win, just not as crushing a defeat as it could have been for him. Last time Utah in the I column was a placeholder for Trump 20%, now it truly is McMullin 30%.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 422
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 1 356 362T483
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 14 10 325T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 19/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 73 120T362
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T103
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T312
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 486/536 347/536 833/1072 77.7% pie



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