Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-04-30 Version:2

Prediction Map

Bruinspolisci Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Bruinspolisci Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	358
Rep	180
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	257
Rep	158
Ind	0
Tos	123

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+2	0	+26	0	0	0	27	2	332	+26
Rep	0	0	0	-2	0	-26	22	3	180	-26
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
71	43	21	4	3

Analysis

Trump vs Clinton, driven by a major increase of Hispanic voters.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	47/56	24/56	71/112	63.4%		2	192	552	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	15/34	44/68	64.7%		1	192	302	T	362
2012 President	47/56	37/56	84/112	75.0%		2	16	630	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	15/33	45/66	68.2%		1	16	198	T	343
2010 Senate	29/37	15/37	44/74	59.5%		1	161	321	T	456
2008 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%		24	1	357	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		5	23	204	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	14/52	8/52	22/104	21.2%		4	-	192	T	271
2004 President	52/56	31/56	83/112	74.1%		23	3	926	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	331/413	194/413	525/826	63.6%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
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