Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-03 Version:5

Prediction Map

Erc Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Erc Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	375
Rep	163
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	303
Rep	91
Ind	0
Tos	144

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+3	+1	+43	0	0	0	27	2	332	+43
Rep	0	0	0	-3	-1	-43	21	2	163	-43
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
67	42	20	3	2

Analysis

9-point Clinton win.<br /> <br /> AZ, GA, NE-02, TX are anyone's game at this point.<br /> <br /> No clue about Utah.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	45/56	22/56	67/112	59.8%		5	5	597	T	678
2012 President	55/56	37/56	92/112	82.1%		6	1	435	T	760
2008 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		12	1	55	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%		3	4	227	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	44/52	27/52	71/104	68.3%		10	-	14	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	40/49	18/49	58/98	59.2%		9	-	15	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	18/33	48/66	72.7%		3	25	207	T	465
2004 President	54/56	37/56	91/112	81.3%		53	1	164	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	352/391	218/391	570/782	72.9%

User Info

Erc Forum Profile

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