I was wrong about Biden winning WA (as of right now, RCP has Sanders with a 0.2 lead with 67% reporting), and Sanders winning Idaho, but I was right about every other contest. Honestly did think the race in MI would be closer-didn’t expect Sanders to lose by more than 10+ points. Expected a Biden crush in Mississippi, but was off by 10 in my prediction. And Biden did better than I thought he would in MO-yet another state where I didn’t see Sanders losing by +10 points. This is possibly a barometer for next contests-I see Biden completely sweeping, with a good majority in FL and IL. But who knows? Maybe he falters and Sanders gets the better of him. But I don’t see that happening.

Changed what I could in order to reflect on the upset that was Super Tuesday. My pre-Super Tuesday prediction was way off, but that was because I saw the polls showing a Sanders takeover. I was extremely wrong about three states in particular: TX, NC, and VA. I thought Sanders would eek out a victory-now I’m not going to make that mistake again. I think Biden wins all contests easily tomorrow, except ID and ND-just because no polling has come out and Sanders has slight northwestern appeal. OR is a complete tossup since WA could go either way-but I’ll update the map on Wednesday in order to reflect on tomorrow’s results.

Changed Sanders lead in several states to reflect growing power of the campaign, and polls coming out showing his gains.

Updated prediction, flipped more states to Sanders (TX SC NV MN CT other). Sanders looks like he’s pulling ahead in TX according to RCP, and I think Warren’s candidacy in certain states will result in her votes largely going to Sanders.