Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-04-26 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-2	-2	-4	13	0	13	-3
Rep	+2	+3	+5	-1	0	-1	12	2	14	+4
Ind	0	0	0	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	-1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	27	41
Republican	19	40	59
Independent	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
29	22	7

Comments
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Member Comments

By: true democrat (D-PA) - 2006-04-26 @ 21:37:10

How do you expect the Republicans to pick up North Dakota?

By: Aguagon (D-AZ) - 2006-04-27 @ 03:51:16

Or Florida, for that matter?

By: Smash255 (D-NY) - 2006-04-28 @ 00:17:34

North Dakota, Forida, Vermont???? WHAT???

By: cnbpjb (--GA) - 2006-05-13 @ 21:59:22

And how do they pickup Maryland, exactly?

By: ryer (R-VA) - 2006-05-14 @ 22:15:04

Actually cnbpjb, of wraith99's predictions that have been challenged here (Florida, Maryland, North Dakota, and Vermont), Maryland is the most plausible GOP victory. If Mfume wins the nomination (or if he screams like hell after losing it and refuses to endorse Cardin) - a real possibility - it will likely be a very tight race in the Old Line State.

By: cm04g (I-FL) - 2006-07-24 @ 01:13:57

ND, FL, VT, MD, PA how are they going to the GOP?What are you smoking bro?

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	22/33	7/33	29/66	43.9%	1	195	460	T	465
2006 Governor	28/36	9/36	37/72	51.4%	1	195	279	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	50/69	16/69	66/138	47.8%

Links

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