Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-02 Version:5

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	10
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	0	+5	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+4
Rep	0	0	0	-5	0	-5	9	1	10	-5
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	27	48
Republican	10	40	50
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
50	32	18

Comments

The national mood and the intensity against Bush is too strong for Chafee in liberal RI. It's not Chafee's fault. Like I said before Chafee is the senator that I admired the most for his stance on the issues and his courage.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%	5	5	156	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	8/36	42/72	58.3%	3	76	244	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	66/69	26/69	92/138	66.7%

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