Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-06 Version:1

Prediction Map

mddem Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mddem Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	22
Rep	10
Ind	1
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	10
Ind	1
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	0	+6	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+5
Rep	0	+1	+1	-6	0	-6	8	1	9	-5
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	22	27	49
Republican	10	40	50
Independent	1	0	1

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
51	32	19

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	19/33	51/66	77.3%		1	1	133	T	465
2004 President	53/56	34/56	87/112	77.7%		13	11	474	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	85/89	53/89	138/178	77.5%

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